Insights

Category: Market Commentary

July 15, 2022

Where From Here: A Recap of the Second Quarter and Thoughts Going Forward

Until mid-June, the Fed was widely perceived as behind the curve in fulfilling its mandate of price stability. For example, even though inflation was increasing in the first quarter, the Fed was still stimulating the economy by buying government securities and mortgages because of its mistaken view that inflation was transitory. In May, inflation, as measured by [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

June 17, 2022

A Difficult Year

Both the equity and fixed income markets globally have experienced significant drawdowns this year, due, primarily, to inflation. The U.S. equity market is now in a bear market, down approximately 25% from its highs, and the protective role that bonds usually play when equity markets fall has not materialized this year. When equity prices fall, [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

May 13, 2022

A Note on the Recent Volatility

So Far This Year Coming into 2022, both stocks and bonds were richly valued. Valuations were at a premium because corporate profitability was strong, interest rates were low, the economy was re-opening, and market participants thought inflation was temporary, primarily due to supply chain issues that would resolve themselves. This year, as we are all experiencing, inflation [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

April 18, 2022

The Inflation Story

Simply put, inflationary pressures occur when demand outstrips supply.  However, when demand dries up, recession often follows as the economy shrinks. During the last two periods of great economic stress, the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 and the COVID-related shut-down of March 2020, the Federal Reserve focused on creating demand to sustain the economy and [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

February 25, 2022

Our View of the Impact of the Russian Invasion on Markets

Update as of 03/10/2022 Like many of you, we greatly admire the determination and perseverance of the Ukrainian people and are appalled by the indiscriminate brutality of the Russian invasion.  While it is impossible to predict how this conflict will end, we do expect significant market volatility in the near term largely driven by daily [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

January 20, 2022

Looking Past Covid

Until the onset of COVID-19, the US economy had been in a period of slow and steady growth and low inflation since the recovery from the 2008 Great Financial crisis.  COVID-19 broke that cycle – after an initial and dramatic decline, the US economy and financial markets recovered quickly.  This was due to massive governmental [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

October 25, 2021

Permanent or Temporary: The Economic Impact OF COVID-19

Although the COVID-19 induced recession last year was short-lived, the on-going effects of COVID-19 on the global economy persist.  Prior to the pandemic, the U.S. inflation rate was contained; GDP growth, though positive, was struggling to rise above 2% annually; the super-cycle of commodity price declines was continuing; global supply chains were robust, despite the [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

July 23, 2021

Market Commentary: 3Q 2021

The US Economy:  Will it be too hot, too cold, or just right? At first glance, the information we consider in evaluating whether the economy will be “too hot, too cold, or just right” appears to be confusing.  Depending on what data you focus on, a case can be made for any of these three [...]

Howard Coleman
Contributions from: Howard Coleman, JD

June 30, 2021

2021 Q2 ISG Panel – ESG, Socially Responsible, and Impact Investing

What is the difference between ESG, socially responsible, and impact investing? This question and may more were answered during last week’s webinar. Members of our Investment Strategy Group, Howard Coleman, Hans Krippaehne, Chris Chung, and Nina Rose, gathered to discuss all things ESG. They also discussed how clients who are interested in ESG can implement [...]

Chris ChungHoward Coleman
Contributions from: Chris Chung, Howard Coleman, JD

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