Although the COVID-19 induced recession last year was short-lived, the on-going effects of COVID-19 on the global economy persist.  Prior to the pandemic, the U.S. inflation rate was contained; GDP growth, though positive, was struggling to rise above 2% annually; the super-cycle of commodity price...

The US Economy:  Will it be too hot, too cold, or just right? At first glance, the information we consider in evaluating whether the economy will be “too hot, too cold, or just right” appears to be confusing.  Depending on what data you focus on,...

April 12, 2021 THE US ECONOMY What a difference a year makes.  After some glitches early on, the vaccine roll-out in the United States appears to be going well, especially when compared to the roll-out in the great majority of other countries.  As the US...

January 19, 2021 First, and most importantly, we hope you are safe and doing well, and we look forward to being able to see many of you in person in 2021. Since March, financial markets and the global economy have been dominated by the spread...