3Q 2020 Market Commentary

October 19, 2020 If, on December 31, 2019, we were told that the total return on the S&P 500 for the first three quarters of 2020 would be 5.57% (which is what it was), many would have concluded that 2020 would be a relatively normal/uneventful...

A Stalling Recovery?

July 28, 2020 After the S&P 500’s downturn, culminating on March 23rd, it rallied 43.36% reaching its post-COVID high on June 5th. Since that time, the index has been essentially flat.

The Stock Market and the Economic Recovery

June 08, 2020 Ending on June 3rd, the S&P 500 had the biggest 50-day rally in its history, gaining 37.7% over that period, and the NASDAQ Composite Index set a new all-time high on June 7th. As of the date of this letter, every stock...

COVID-19 Monitoring Resources

April 03, 2020 As we continue to track the COVID-19 situation and assess its impact on financial markets, we wanted to share some of the resources we’re monitoring on a daily basis.  Useful data is scattered across the internet, so we look at a variety...

The End of the Bull Market

March 13, 2020 First, and most importantly, we hope you are doing well and staying safe. The longest bull market in the history of US equities came to an end this week as the S&P 500 fell more than 20% from its peak in breathtaking...

The Coronavirus and Markets

February 25, 2020 In the last several days, fears about the Coronavirus spreading have resulted in a “risk off” environment in financial markets:  equity markets globally have lost value and US Treasury prices have risen.  As of the time of this letter, on February 25th,...

3 Factors That Will Drive Northwest Housing

Newcomers are arriving in record numbers to the Pacific Northwest. Home inventory levels are at ten year lows in many market areas. Three factors, listed below, have the potential to put continued pressure on available housing and consequently drive up valuations. THE MILLENNIAL MORTGAGE BOOM

Beyond the Noise: A Look at Greece, Puerto Rico, & China

Three events in financial markets have received significant media attention in the last week: a potential Greece exit from the Eurozone, a potential default by Puerto Rico on its bond holdings, and the significant decline (after a rapid advance) in China’s equity markets.  The Coldstream...

The 3rd Quarter Winds Down

September 2013 marks the five-year anniversary of the financial market collapse in 2008; we have certainly come a long way in those five years. With the S&P 500 and the Dow eclipsing all-time highs and interest rates having stayed low for the longest stretch in...